City-Scale Simulation Model of COVID-19 Spread

Charles Macal

Forecasting models for COVID-19 at the national and state levels have been common, but few account for transmission at city or smaller scales. In this talk, we describe two complementary Mathematica epidemiological simulation models that have been developed to forecast COVID-19 spread at city scale and below. We conclude with showing how the two models can be used together to best inform public health decisions.